Will JD Vance say “Housing / Home”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Housing / Home” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Housing / Home
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…A couple of other final points. So for all the kids at home and their parents, importantly, today is -- or I believe tomorrow is…
…the person I am replacing today, Carolyn Levitt, who hopefully is at home enjoying some time with her beautiful kids. I told Carolyn I would…
…good afternoon to everybody and good afternoon to everybody who's watching at home. It's a tough act to follow, but let me just say a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Housing / Home |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Home / Housing |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Housing / Home”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Housing / Home” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 23, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Housing / Home” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Housing / Home’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/home-or-housing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=home%20%2F%20housing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP