Will JD Vance say “God” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” 4+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
God 4+ times
- Probability
- 52% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…if the Democrats take control of the House or the Senate or, God forbid, both. But let me just say, on the data center question,…
…affected by it. We don't want that to happen in our country, and may God rest the souls of the people who lost their lives.
…ways we tone down the temperature is to have a media that tells the truth. I encourage you all to do that. God bless you.
…be honest, if this thing drags on for another few days, or God forbid another few weeks, we are going to have to lay people…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | God 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 21, 2026 | God 4+ times | Polymarket | No |
| May 14, 2026 | God 4+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “God 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” 4+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “God 4+ times” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘God 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/god-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=god%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP