Will JD Vance say “Fired”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Fired” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 8, 2024.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Fired
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we can. If you recall, under the Biden administration, guys were getting fired because they were making their own health care decisions, and the Biden…
…She actually collided with him. And then that's, of course, when he fired his shots. That's obvious, ok? So, what I'd say to the protesters…
…January. We look forward to that because we maintain that she was fired well within the president's legal authority to do so. She was removed…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2024 | Fired |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Fired”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Fired” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 8, 2024.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Fired” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Fired’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/fired (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=fired · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP