Will JD Vance say “Faith”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Faith” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Faith
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is not depend on the Iranians behaving responsibly or negotiating in good faith. What we're going to do is use the tools that we have…
…text would be released is just we were trying to show good faith to the Iranians, who, for reasons I have no idea, cared a…
…the Iranians, is because we wanted to show a sign of good faith. The Vice President of the United States is willing to cut a…
…I think on the one hand, those who are negotiating in good faith are saying, look, we just want to make sure that we're able…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Faith |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Faith”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Faith” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Faith” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Faith’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/faith (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=faith · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP