Will JD Vance say “Factory / Plant”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Factory / Plant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Factory / Plant
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…investment come into the country, but most of that is building new factories and new facilities. Those factories are being built. So, if you're a…
…let's say that they would like to invest in building a power plant. That actually is impossible right now because of the way that US…
…bringing investment back into the United States of America. That rather than factory closures, we were going to have factories opening. And we've seen both…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Factory / Plant |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Factory / Plant”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Factory / Plant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Factory / Plant” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Factory / Plant’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/factory-or-plant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=factory%20%2F%20plant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP