Will JD Vance say “Defund / Defunded / Defunding”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Defund / Defunded / Defunding” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Defund / Defunded / Defunding
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of law enforcement to simply do their jobs. Democrats are calling to defund federal law enforcement agencies who are protecting public safety, and Democrats are…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of crack the door open to negotiation at a later date, would the party that ran on defunding Obamacare really negotiate about potentially expanding Obamacare?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Defund / Defunded / Defunding |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Defund / Defunded / Defunding”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Defund / Defunded / Defunding” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Defund / Defunded / Defunding” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Defund / Defunded / Defunding’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/defund-or-defunded-or-defunding (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=defund%20%2F%20defunded%20%2F%20defunding · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP