Will JD Vance say “Washington / DC”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Washington / DC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 28, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Washington / DC
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…how much better it is, how much prouder they are, how much more they feel supported from Washington as opposed to, frankly, oppressed by Washington.
…good morning, everybody. Nothing to talk about, slow news day here in Washington, DC. So, let me just say a couple of things off the…
…can't be bought by special interests, who are going to go to Washington and fight for the people who actually elected them to those positions."…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Washington / DC |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Washington / DC | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Washington / DC”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Washington / DC” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 28, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Washington / DC” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Washington / DC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/dc-or-washington (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=dc%20%2F%20washington · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP