Will JD Vance say “Congress / Congressional”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Congress / Congressional” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 3, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Congress / Congressional
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there's a very good chance that if the Democrats take control of Congress, we will lose the AI race to China, but we'll also lose…
…to James Braid, our head of OLA. We do plan to brief Congress very soon. I believe that they got the formal copy of the…
…all, you're right, I am a big fan of banning members of Congress from trading stocks. So is the President of the United States. All…
Again, I'm happy to talk with any Congressional Democrat or any of you about our immigration policy, about why I think it's necessary, about why…
…very minute is because, despite the fact that the overwhelming majority of congressional Republicans and even a few moderate Democrats supported opening the government, the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Congress / Congressional |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Congress / Congressional”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Congress / Congressional” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 3, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Congress / Congressional” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Congress / Congressional’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/congress-or-congressional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=congress%20%2F%20congressional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP