Will JD Vance say “DC / Capital”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “DC / Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
DC / Capital
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to New York for 9/11 and the President would stay here in DC, of course, to commemorate what happened at the Pentagon, because that was…
…morning, everybody. Nothing to talk about, slow news day here in Washington, DC. So, let me just say a couple of things off the bat.…
…preposterous question. I'm not saying that funding some of this stuff justifies capital punishment. Nobody would suggest that. The reason this woman is dead is…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | DC / Capital |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “DC / Capital”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “DC / Capital” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “DC / Capital” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘DC / Capital’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/capital-or-dc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=capital%20%2F%20dc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP