Will JD Vance say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 5+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…put a stop to that, having found, I think, north of $200 billion in fraud and we're to keep, of course, working on that in…
…is already bearing real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait of Hormuz; that is a…
…force where we have caught just in the last couple of months billions upon billions of dollars of fraud in our hospice system, in our…
…of people's rights. What are ICE officers are doing is deporting the millions of criminal aliens that were let in during the Biden administration. So…
…happen. What they have done instead is to shut down the government because we won't give billions of dollars to healthcare funding for illegal aliens.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 28, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP