Will JD Vance say “Biden Administration” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Biden Administration” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 22, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Biden Administration 4+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…here had talked about, we had for a very long time, the Biden administration, draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve purely for the purpose of lowering…
…I'd say is that the biggest immigration fraud that existed under the Biden administration, it's not just that they let a flood of people across…
…deporting the millions of criminal aliens that were let in during the Biden administration. So number one, we have to say, as a matter of…
…how we can solve the healthcare crisis that we inherited from the Biden administration." But it's one thing to say that we should solve the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Biden Administration 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Biden Administration 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Biden Administration” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 22, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Biden Administration 4+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Biden Administration 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/biden-administration-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=biden%20administration%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP