Will JD Vance say “America / American” 20+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “America / American” 20+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
America / American 20+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…have taken over 2,000 fraudulent CDL mills out of business, which makes America's roads safer and also protects the jobs of American truckers. And so…
…president's peace plan in Iran is already bearing real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait…
…the fraudulent criminal activities. So the thing that I say to the American people and I'll repeat here to all of you is, fraud is…
…system thanks to failed politicians and thanks to people who allowed the American taxpayer to be taken advantage of for far too long. I think…
That is what has actually happened. To the American people who are watching, the reason your government is shut down at this very minute is…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | America / American 20+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 23, 2026 | America / American 20+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “America / American 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “America / American” 20+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “America / American 20+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘America / American 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/america-or-american-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=america%20%2F%20american%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP