Will JD Vance say “America” 20+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “America” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJD Vance
America 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…have taken over 2,000 fraudulent CDL mills out of business, which makes America's roads safer and also protects the jobs of American truckers. And so…
…not a single penny, by the way, from the United States of America under any circumstances. But the only way that they would ever get…
…to continue to prosecute the case, to continue to try to achieve America's objectives, and we could talk a little bit about what that looks…
…young parent struggling to afford child care in the United States of America, there are programs that we have to make it easier for your…
…of the Democratic Party. We need to reopen the government. Let's fix America's problems, let's work together to solve them, but let's reopen the government…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | America 20+ times | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “America 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “America” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “America 20+ times” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘America 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/america-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=america%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP