Will “Trump” be said 5+ times at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said 5+ times at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Trump (5+ times)
- Probability
- 69% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (5+ times)” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said 5+ times at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (5+ times)” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP