Will “Small Business” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Small Business” was not said at the Congressional hearings on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Small Business
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Small Business |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Small Business | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Small Business” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Small Business” was not said at the Congressional hearings on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Small Business” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Small Business’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/small-business (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=small%20business · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP