Will “Investor / Developer” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Investor / Developer” was said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 23, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Investor / Developer

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 23, 2026Investor / DeveloperKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Investor / Developer” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Investor / Developer” was said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 23, 2026.
What is the probability “Investor / Developer” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Investor / Developer’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/developer-or-investor (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=developer%20%2F%20investor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP