Will “Department of War” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Department of War” was not said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 12, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any witness
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Department of War
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Department of War |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Department of War” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Department of War” was not said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Department of War” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Department of War’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/department-of-war (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=department%20of%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP