Will “14th Amendment” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “14th Amendment” was said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 10, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any witness
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
14th Amendment
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 14th Amendment |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “14th Amendment” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “14th Amendment” was said at the Congressional hearings on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “14th Amendment” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘14th Amendment’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/14th-amendment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=14th%20amendment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP