Will “Inflation” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Inflation” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (31%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Inflation
- Probability
- 34% · n=13
- Settled
- 4/13 (31%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
4 counted.
…the 13-year-old now accused of pulling the trigger. Tonight, the prices Americans are paying. The new inflation report right before the midterms showing prices skyrocketing.
…midterms tonight, less than three weeks away. And this evening, the new inflation report just out, showing prices skyrocketing, driven by gas and diesel and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Inflation |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Inflation | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Inflation” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Inflation” was said on World News Tonight in 4 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (31%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Inflation” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP