ABC World News Tonight, September 11, 2026
On the Sep 11, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 45%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 63%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dividend / Stimulus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat / Democratic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ireland | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=27 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…the dramatic escalation in the war with Iran and the price of gas. Now Saudi Arabia forced to shut down a critical pipeline following multiple…
…living president attending the Clintons, the Obamas, the Bidens and the Bushes. And Vice President J.D. Vance, President Trump attending a memorial at the Pentagon.
…attacks, with this message, even with many of America's former leaders standing right there, claiming they covered up Saudi Arabia's alleged involvement in the attacks.
…thank you. Tonight, gas prices in the U.S. now hitting $4.30, and diesel hitting an all-time record high, above $6 a gallon now, affecting nearly…
…this Friday night, the breaking news, the escalation in the war with Iran and the price of gas. Saudi Arabia forced to shut down a…
…their heroic work 25 years ago. Every former living president attending the Clintons, the Obamas, the Bidens and the Bushes, and Vice President J.D. Vance.
It's pushing up the rate of inflation. Driven by the war in Iran. In Philadelphia, frustration from Nicole Collins, who recently had a baby. It's…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-11:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-11:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP