ABC World News Tonight, September 14, 2026
On the Sep 14, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 28 | 28 | ✓ | 29%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 64%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 49%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 55%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Measles | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Amazon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Ireland | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…breaking news on several stories. President Trump rejecting the dire warnings about AI. Even as three top AI rivals tonight agree it's time to slow…
Ginger Zee is here. Tonight, the new report about Donald Trump Jr.'s wedding party reports a Russian oligarch with close ties to Vladimir Putin paid…
…in the war, Iranian-backed militants striking and paralyzing another vital waterway for oil. Tonight, here in the U.S., diesel now at an all-time new high…
Here's Mary Bruce. Tonight, the dramatic new satellite images. Iran's Houthi allies firing at yet another crucial oil passageway. This one in the Red Sea.…
And just last week, an OpenAI model solved a math problem that had stumped humans for nearly 100 years in 88 hours. Tonight, in a…
…Tonight, Iranian-backed Houthi militants striking, paralyzing another vital oil waterway. Tonight here in the U.S., diesel price is already spiking to a new all-time high.
that it's too strong too fast. Anthropics CEO Dario Amadei saying, quote, we must slow the pace at which we improve the capabilities of AI…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-14:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-14:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP