ABC World News Tonight, September 16, 2026
On the Sep 16, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 17- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | Yes | 18 | 18 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 54%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Helicopter | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ed Sheeran / Macklemore | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mortgage | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 48%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 38%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Kash / Patel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kennedy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Measles | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
Also breaking tonight, the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates for the first time since 2023, affecting mortgages, car loans, credit cards. The chair of the…
…and Coast Guard forces boarding U.S.-bound tankers hit with cyber attacks. Was Iran behind this? Tonight, authorities say Travis Kelsey and others falling victim to…
…on Disney Plus every night. Tonight breaking news. The horrific and deadly helicopter crash in Los Angeles. A news chopper falling out of the sky.
The backlash artists dropping out of Ed Sheeran's U.S. tour, what Macklemore is now doing tonight, and what he's challenging Patriots owner Robert Kraft to…
…the typical household has spent an extra $930 in energy costs. Gas is now $4.42 a gallon, and diesel at a record $6.30 a gallon.
…of the Federal Reserve pointing to the war in Iran and to inflation here in the U.S. Tonight, Elizabeth Schulze asking the new Fed chair,…
…paying the lowest interest rate anywhere in the world. Today's rate hike means the cost of credit cards, car loans and mortgages will go up.
…Coast Guard forces and the FBI climb aboard one of two U.S.-bound oil tankers that had been hit by massive cyber attacks, fueling concerns about…
…who we are not naming. A destroyed Air Force jet hit by Iranian fire on March 27th at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-16:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-16:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP