The Weeknight (MS NOW), October 26, 2026
On the Oct 26, 2026 episode of The Weeknight, 2 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 15 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 15- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 6 | 10 | ✓ | 41%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 3 | 38 | ✗ | 38%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 2 | 3 | ✗ | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 49%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 39%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 31%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 27, 2026 01:25 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-weeknight:2026-10-26:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-weeknight:2026-10-26:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP