Will “Election” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Meet the Press in 8 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
Election
- Probability
- 56% · n=10
- Settled
- 8/10 (80%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted; 13 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Election |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 31, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Election” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Meet the Press in 8 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Election” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP