Meet the Press: Episode, Jun 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press?
Markets
12 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 68%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 66%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMTPMENTION-26JUN14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP