Will “Tariff” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 23, 2026, “Tariff” was said on Fox News in 4 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (44%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

45%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=tariff

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Tariff

Probability
45% · n=9
Settled
4/9 (44%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 5, 2026TariffKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 23, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Aug 1, 2026TariffKalshiYes–
May 14, 2026TariffKalshiYes–
Mar 8, 2026TariffKalshiNo–
Feb 24, 2026TariffKalshiYes–
Feb 22, 2026TariffKalshiNo–
Feb 11, 2026TariffKalshiNo–
Jan 22, 2026TariffKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Tariff” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Tariff” was said on Fox News in 4 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (44%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Tariff” is said on Fox News next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP