Will “Republican” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on Fox News in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Republican
- Probability
- 38% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 23, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on Fox News in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on Fox News next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP