Will “Ayatollah / Khamenei” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ayatollah / Khamenei” was not said on Fox News in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
37%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Ayatollah / Khamenei
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Ayatollah / Khamenei |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Khamenei / Ayatollah | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Khamenei / Ayatollah | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ayatollah / Khamenei | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Ayatollah / Khamenei” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ayatollah / Khamenei” was not said on Fox News in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ayatollah / Khamenei” is said on Fox News next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Ayatollah / Khamenei’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/ayatollah-or-khamenei (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=ayatollah%20%2F%20khamenei · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP