Will Jerome Powell say “Production”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Production” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 16, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Production
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…lots of ways that oil and derivatives of oil get into the production and transportation of many, many things. And those—they’re big effects in headline…
…it takes a while for tariffs to work their way through the production chain and finally get to consumers. And we see this now from…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | Production |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Production”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Production” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Production” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Production’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/production (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=production · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP