Will Jerome Powell say “President”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “President” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
President
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…particularly passionate about that. Of course, so are the Reserve—so are the presidents. And, you know, it’s a question of how do you accomplish it.…
Thanks much. Elizabeth Schulze with ABC News. President Trump says that oil prices and overall inflation will go down very rapidly as soon as the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
If I could—if President Trump does pick a new Fed Chairman before May, what does that look like? How would you work with that person,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…if I could address sort of the elephant in the room. The President’s been talking openly about a new Fed Chairman. Does that hinder your…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Powell. Courtenay Brown from Axios. As you know, the 12 Reserve Bank presidents’ terms are up for renewal at the end of February. I’m wondering…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “President”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “President” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “President” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘President’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/president (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=president · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP