Will Jerome Powell say “Growth”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Growth” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 16, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Growth
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…A good part of the slowing in the pace of the job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
…low. A good part of the slowing in the pace of job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
…last quarter, but these effects should be reversed as the reopening boosts growth this quarter. In the labor market, indicators suggest that conditions may be…
…the current quarter, but these effects should be mostly offset by higher growth next quarter, reflecting the reopening. In our Summary of Economic Projections, the…
…2.4 percent last year. Data available prior to the shutdown show that growth in economic activity may be on a somewhat firmer trajectory than expected,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | Growth |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Growth”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Growth” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Growth” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Growth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/growth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=growth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP