Will Jerome Powell say “Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
- Probability
- 20% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We know—we’re very well aware that people are experiencing higher gas prices all over the country now. And that hurts. That’s—and these are—those hikes may…
…if we have high—if we have a long period of much higher gas prices, that’s going to weigh on consumption, that will weigh on disposable…
Thank you, Chair Powell. Matt Egan from CNN. Relatively low gas prices this year have helped drive down inflation in recent reports, but that trend…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-natural-gas (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20natural%20gas · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP