Will Jerome Powell say “Future”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Future” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Future
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…duration of potential effects on the economy remain unclear, as does the future course of the conflict itself. We will continue to monitor the risks…
Thanks very much. Just to sort of stare into the future for a little bit, I was looking at the longer-run bits of the SEP.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the outlook and the balance of risks. Haven’t made any decisions about future meetings, but the economy is growing at a solid pace, the unemployment…
…favor of this cut. The strongly differing views were really about the future, what does that look like? And I think people are saying—they’re noticing…
…domestic final purchases—which we think is a narrower but better signal for future, for where the economy is going—has come down to a little better…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Future |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Future”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Future” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Future” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Future’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/future (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=future · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP