Will Jerome Powell say “Framework”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Framework” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Framework
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…right thing to do is to try to balance the achievement of those two goals, and that’s what our framework calls for us to do.
So we’re in a difficult situation, and we feel like we’re—our framework calls on us to balance the risks, and we feel like where we…
…having risen in recent months, the balance of risks has shifted. Our framework calls for us to take a balanced approach in promoting both sides…
…as we navigate this tension between our employment and inflation goals. Our framework calls for us to take a balanced approach in promoting both sides…
…downside—a challenging situation. When our goals are in tension like this, our framework calls for us to balance both sides of our dual mandate. With…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | Framework |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Framework”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Framework” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Framework” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Framework’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/framework (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=framework · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP