Will Jerome Powell say “Federal Reserve” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Federal Reserve” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Federal Reserve 2+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…step forward, and I wish him well as that process continues. The Federal Reserve exists for one fundamental purpose: to foster the economic conditions in…
And if I may, what happens if there’s no Federal Reserve Chairman confirmed on May 15? Would you stay on?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a decision on whether you would remain as a Governor of the Federal Reserve, and, if so, would you tell us what it is? And,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
As detailed in a statement released today by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reserve management purchases will amount to $40 billion in the…
…aversions to the two different variables, which is common through, through all federal reserves, they’re—people just have different risk tolerances, let’s say. So that leads…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Federal Reserve 2+ |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Federal Reserve 2+”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Federal Reserve” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Federal Reserve 2+” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Federal Reserve 2+’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/federal-reserve-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=federal%20reserve%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP