Will Jerome Powell say “FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jerome Powell said “FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We see the current stance…
…little changed in recent months, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We see the current stance…
…inflation remains somewhat elevated. In support of our goals, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. Having lowered our…
…of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by ¼ percentage…
…of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by ¼ percentage…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Jerome Powell said “FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘FOMC / Federal Open Market Committee’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/federal-open-market-committee-or-fomc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=federal%20open%20market%20committee%20%2F%20fomc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP