Will Jerome Powell say “Energy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Energy” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (67%), most recently on Aug 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Energy
- Probability
- 51% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…up and is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate unchanged. We…
…12 months ending in February and that, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 3.0 percent. These elevated readings largely reflect…
…12 months ending in December and that, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 3.0 percent. These elevated readings largely reflect…
…the 12 months ending in September, and, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices also rose 2.8 percent. These readings are higher…
…percent over the 12 months ending in September and that, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 2.8 percent as well.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Energy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Energy” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 4, 2025 (67%), most recently on Aug 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Energy” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP