Will Jerome Powell say “Economy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Economy” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 25, 2025 (75%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Economy
- Probability
- 49% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S. economy has been expanding at a solid pace. While job gains have remained…
…and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S. economy has been expanding at a solid pace. While job gains have remained…
…and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S. economy expanded at a solid pace last year and is coming into 2026…
…what each participant judges to be the most likely scenario for the economy. The median participant projects that the appropriate level of the federal funds…
I wouldn’t say that’s a—that’s a factor in everyone’s assessment of the economy. I wouldn’t say it’s a driving factor, I don’t think, for anybody.…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Economy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Economy” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 25, 2025 (75%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Economy” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Economy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP