Will Jerome Powell say “Dot Plot”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Dot Plot” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

18%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=dot%20plot

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Dot Plot

Probability
18% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, April 29, 2026 · Apr 29, 2026In transcript

…was that making, making changes—making really large changes, for example, to the dot plot or the SEP, it didn’t have—we couldn’t come up with anything…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, September 17, 2025 · Sep 17, 2025 · 38:53In transcript

…supported more cuts, and some didn’t, as you will see from the dot plot. So it’s just the way—that’s just the way it is. I…

NICK TIMIRAOSreporterFOMC press conference, June 18, 2025 · Jun 18, 2025 · 20:23In transcript

…you could explain a little more the divergence we see in the dot plot, particularly around the 2025 rate projections. I realize this is—you know,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · not listed

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 25, 2025Dot PlotKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2025Dot PlotKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2025Dot PlotKalshiNo
Aug 24, 2025Dot plotKalshiNo
May 15, 2025Dot PlotKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Dot Plot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Dot Plot” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 15, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Dot Plot” next time?
18%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Dot Plot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/dot-plot (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=dot%20plot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP