Will Jerome Powell say “Degree” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Degree” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Degree 3+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…step back overall? There are a number of indicators that suggest a degree of stability. But the thing that I think a good number of…
…partly that consumer spending has held up. It’s been resilient. To another degree, it is that AI—spending on data centers and related to AI has…
…move in December, and that may make you more cautious. To the degree you are relying on private data that isn’t the gold standard or…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…just a range of views on what to do. Nonetheless, we came together today at the meeting and acted with a high degree of unity.
…there’s been any discussion about that at the meetings and how—to what degree that might be complicating your attempts to get inflation back to target.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Degree 3+ |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Degree 3+”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Degree” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Degree 3+” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Degree 3+’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/degree-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=degree%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP