Will Jerome Powell say “Debt”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Debt” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Debt
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…federal budget deficit is uncontroversially on an unsustainable path. The level of debt is not unsustainable—it’s very much sustainable—but the path is unsustainable. And the…
…the aggregate, households are in good shape financially—relatively, relatively manageable levels of debt. At the lower-income spectrum, you are seeing rising defaults, particularly in subprime…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Debt |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Debt”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Debt” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Debt” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Debt’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/debt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=debt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP