Will Jerome Powell say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

15%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 8 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Crypto / Bitcoin

Probability
15% · n=8
Settled
0/8 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · settled no

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · settled no

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 30, 2026Crypto / BitcoinKalshiNo
Dec 2, 2025Crypto / BitcoinKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2025Crypto /BitcoinKalshiNo
Oct 14, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Aug 24, 2025Crypto / BitcoinKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
May 25, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
May 15, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Crypto / Bitcoin” next time?
15%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/bitcoin-or-crypto (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP