Will Jerome Powell say “Balance Sheet”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Balance Sheet” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

12%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Balance Sheet

Probability
12% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, December 10, 2025 · Dec 10, 2025In transcript

Well, I wouldn’t say “concerned.” So what really happened is this: Balance sheet shrinkage, sometimes called QT, went on. We had a framework in place…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, October 29, 2025 · Oct 29, 2025In transcript

…holdings as of December 1. Our long-stated plan has been to stop balance sheet runoff when reserves are somewhat above the level we judge consistent…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, September 17, 2025 · Sep 17, 2025 · 4:22In transcript

…4 to 4¼ percent and to continue reducing the size of our balance sheet. Changes to government policies continue to evolve, and their effects on…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, July 30, 2025 · Jul 30, 2025 · 1:00:05In transcript

…4¼ to 4½ percent and to continue reducing the size of our balance sheet. We will continue to determine the appropriate stance of monetary policy…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, June 18, 2025 · Jun 18, 2025 · 4:22In transcript

…4¼ to 4½ percent and to continue reducing the size of our balance sheet. We will continue to determine the appropriate stance of monetary policy…

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · settled no

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled no

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 30, 2026Balance SheetKalshiNo
Mar 19, 2026Balance SheetKalshiNo
Dec 2, 2025Balance SheetKalshiNo
Oct 25, 2025Balance SheetKalshiNo
May 15, 2025Balance SheetKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Balance Sheet”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Balance Sheet” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 15, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Balance Sheet” next time?
12%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Balance Sheet’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/balance-sheet (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=balance%20sheet · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP