Will Jerome Powell say “AI / Artificial Intelligence ”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (57%), most recently on Mar 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 44% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…ago—four years ago, five years ago. And that’s not because of generative AI, it’s—it may—we’ll—we won’t know for years what it’s really due to. But…
…consumer spending overall numbers are good. And we’re benefiting from the—from the AI buildout of data centers—that’s another thing we’re benefiting from. But the economy,…
…has held up. It’s been resilient. To another degree, it is that AI—spending on data centers and related to AI has been holding up business…
…thought. And that suggested that policy, which we had been holding at a, I would say, “modestly”—other people would say “moderately”—restrictive level, needed to move…
…Those are two—we’re getting unusually large amounts of economic activity through the AI build-out and corporate investment. I don’t know how long that will go…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 30, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 15, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 14, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 25, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No |
| May 15, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “AI / Artificial Intelligence ”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (57%), most recently on Mar 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “AI / Artificial Intelligence ” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence ’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP