Will “Target” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Target” was said on Survivor in 14 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (61%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.

69%from settlement history only · n=23counts: contestants (not the host)
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
contestants (not the host)
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=target

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Target

Probability
69% · n=23
Settled
14/23 (61%)

Next listing counts: contestants (not the host)

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 23 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 21, 2026TargetKalshiYes
May 14, 2026TargetKalshiYes
May 7, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Apr 30, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Apr 23, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Mar 11, 2026TargetKalshiYes
Dec 18, 2025TargetKalshiYes
Dec 11, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Nov 27, 2025TargetKalshiYes
Nov 20, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Nov 13, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Nov 6, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Oct 30, 2025TargetKalshiYes
Oct 23, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Oct 8, 2025TargetKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2025TargetKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Target” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Target” was said on Survivor in 14 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (61%), most recently on May 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Target” is said on Survivor next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: contestants (not the host).

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Target’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/target (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=target · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP