South Park
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 205 word markets on South Park since 2025, on 121 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 129, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Aug 6 ’25episode | Aug 20episode | Sep 24episode | Oct 15episode | Oct 16episode | Oct 30episode | Sep 16 ’26episode | Sep 30episode | Oct 14latest | Last 9 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 24 episode | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 30 episode | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 14 episode | 3/475% | 3/475% | 44%n=4 from settlement history |
| Six Seven | Not listed: Six Seven, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Six Seven, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Six Seven, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Six Seven, Oct 15 episode | Settled yes: Six Seven, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Six Seven, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Six Seven, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Six Seven, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Six Seven, Oct 14 episode | 1/425% | 1/425% | 14%n=4 from settlement history |
| Bitcoin / Cryptonever said | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto, Oct 14 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 12%n=4 from settlement history |
| ICEnever said | Not listed: ICE, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: ICE, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: ICE, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: ICE, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: ICE, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: ICE, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: ICE, Oct 14 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 12%n=4 from settlement history |
| Israelnever said | Settled no: Israel, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Israel, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Israel, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Israel, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Israel, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: Israel, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Israel, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Israel, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Israel, Oct 14 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 12%n=4 from settlement history |
| Tylenolnever said | Not listed: Tylenol, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Tylenol, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Tylenol, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Tylenol, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Tylenol, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: Tylenol, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Tylenol, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Tylenol, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Tylenol, Oct 14 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 12%n=4 from settlement history |
| Hell | Not listed: Hell, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Hell, Aug 20 episode | Settled yes: Hell, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Hell, Oct 15 episode | Settled yes: Hell, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Hell, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Hell, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Hell, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Hell, Oct 14 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | 32%n=3 from settlement history |
| Jesus | Not listed: Jesus, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Jesus, Aug 20 episode | Settled yes: Jesus, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Jesus, Oct 15 episode | Settled yes: Jesus, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: Jesus, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Jesus, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Jesus, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Jesus, Oct 14 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | 28%n=3 from settlement history |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump, Aug 20 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 15 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Trump, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Trump, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 14 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | 32%n=3 from settlement history |
| Cartman5+ times | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Cartman 5+ times, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Cartman 5+ times, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Cartman 5+ times, Sep 30 episode | Settled yes: Cartman 5+ times, Oct 14 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 29%n=3 from settlement history |
| Crazy | Not listed: Crazy, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Crazy, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Crazy, Sep 30 episode | Settled yes: Crazy, Oct 14 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 29%n=3 from settlement history |
| Gay / Homosexual | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Gay / Homosexual, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Gay / Homosexual, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Gay / Homosexual, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Gay / Homosexual, Oct 14 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 25%n=3 from settlement history |
| Kenny5+ times | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Kenny 5+ times, Oct 30 episode | Settled yes: Kenny 5+ times, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Kenny 5+ times, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Kenny 5+ times, Oct 14 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 22%n=3 from settlement history |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| Elon / Musk | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 12%n=3 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Settled no: Epstein, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 12%n=3 from settlement history |
| Gulf of America | Not listed: Gulf of America, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Gulf of America, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Gulf of America, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Gulf of America, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Gulf of America, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Gulf of America, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Gulf of America, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Gulf of America, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Gulf of America, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Iran, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Iran, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Iran, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Iran, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Iran, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Iran, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Iran, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Iran, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| JD / Vance | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: JD / Vance, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: JD / Vance, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: JD / Vance, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| Labubu | Not listed: Labubu, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Labubu, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Labubu, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Labubu, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Labubu, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Labubu, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Labubu, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Labubu, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Labubu, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 12%n=3 from settlement history |
| Lake America | Not listed: Lake America, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Lake America, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Lake America, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Lake America, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Lake America, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Lake America, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Lake America, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Lake America, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Lake America, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| Palestine | Settled no: Palestine, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Palestine, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Palestine, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Palestine, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 14%n=3 from settlement history |
| Sport | Not listed: Sport, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Sport, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Sport, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Sport, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Sport, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Sport, Oct 30 episode | Settled no: Sport, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Settled no: Sport, Sep 30 episode | Settled no: Sport, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 10%n=3 from settlement history |
| TikTok | Not listed: TikTok, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: TikTok, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: TikTok, Oct 16 episode | Settled no: TikTok, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: TikTok, Oct 14 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 12%n=3 from settlement history |
| Kalshi | Not listed: Kalshi, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Aug 20 episode | Settled yes: Kalshi, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Kalshi, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Kalshi, Oct 14 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 23%n=2 from settlement history |
| Polymarket | Not listed: Polymarket, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Aug 20 episode | Settled yes: Polymarket, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Polymarket, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Polymarket, Oct 14 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 23%n=2 from settlement history |
| Biden | Settled no: Biden, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Biden, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Biden, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Biden, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Biden, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Dildo | Not listed: Dildo, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Dildo, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Dildo, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Dildo, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Election, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Election, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Election, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: Election, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Election, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Election, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 13%n=2 from settlement history |
| Gender | Settled no: Gender, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Gender, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Gender, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Gender, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Gender, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Gender, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Gender, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Gender, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Gender, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Hoax | Not listed: Hoax, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Hoax, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Hoax, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Hoax, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 13%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kamala | Settled no: Kamala, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Kamala, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Killed Kenny | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: Killed Kenny, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Killed Kenny, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Killed Kenny, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 24 episode | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| MAGA | Settled no: MAGA, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Aug 20 episode | Settled no: MAGA, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: MAGA, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 13%n=2 from settlement history |
| Patriot | Settled no: Patriot, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Patriot, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Patriot, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Satan | Settled no: Satan, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Satan, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Satan, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Satan, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Satan, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Satan, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Satan, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Satan, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Satan, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| Sydney Sweeney | Settled no: Sydney Sweeney, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: Sydney Sweeney, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Oct 15 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Sydney Sweeney, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 14%n=2 from settlement history |
| White House | Not listed: White House, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Settled no: White House, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: White House, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: White House, Oct 15 episode | Settled no: White House, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: White House, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: White House, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: White House, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: White House, Oct 14 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 13%n=2 from settlement history |
| Baby | Not listed: Baby, Aug 6 ’25 episode | Not listed: Baby, Aug 20 episode | Not listed: Baby, Sep 24 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 15 episode | Settled yes: Baby, Oct 16 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 30 episode | Not listed: Baby, Sep 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Baby, Sep 30 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 14 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 9Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will be said during the third episode of South Park: Season 29? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
| Sep 30, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will be said during the second episode of South Park: Season 29? | no transcript | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will be said during the first episode of South Park: Season 29? | no transcript | 12 | 1 yes · 11 no | – |
| Oct 30, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will any South Park character say during next South Park episode? | no transcript | 12 | 0 yes · 12 no | – |
| Oct 16, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will the South Park characters say during the next episode? | no transcript | 19 | 6 yes · 13 no | – |
| Oct 15, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will be said during South Park on October 15? | no transcript | 21 | 3 yes · 18 no | – |
| Sep 24, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will the South Park characters say during the prediction market episode? | no transcript | 42 | 10 yes · 32 no | – |
| Aug 20, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Eric Cartman say during the South Park - Season 27 Episode 3? | no transcript | 46 | 0 yes · 46 no | – |
| Aug 6, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Eric Cartman as Charlie Kirk say on South Park tonight? | no transcript | 29 | 2 yes · 27 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “South Park: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/south-park (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/south-park · words: /api/v1/history?entity=south-park · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP