South Park: Episode, Sep 24, 2025
Kalshi What will the South Park characters say during the prediction market episode?
Polymarket What will be said during South Park prediction market episode tonight?
Markets
35 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: any character Kalshi
- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamble / Gambling | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jesus | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jimmy / Kimmel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kalshi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Predict / Prediction 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade / Trading | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hell | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Broncos | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuck / Cuckold | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Killed Kenny | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poly / Poly- 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Predict / Prediction 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelenskyy / Suit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dildo | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DraftKings | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FanDuel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Labubu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mention | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robinhood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rugged | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scam | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tylenol | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Webull | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hoax | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 6%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSOUTHPARKMENTION-25SEP24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP