South Park: Episode, Sep 30, 2026

Wed, Sep 30EpisodeHistory onlySouth Park

Updated

Markets

12 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes21%n=2 from settlement history–
Gay / Homosexual Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Kenny 5+ timesNo–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Six Seven No19%n=2 from settlement history–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Cartman 5+ timesNo–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Crazy No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Gulf of America No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Iran No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
JD / Vance No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Lake America No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Sport No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-second-episode-of-south-park-season-29-20260930 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP