South Park: Episode, Oct 30, 2025
Kalshi What will any South Park character say during next South Park episode?
Markets
12 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: any character Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No King | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TikTok | No | 12%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tylenol | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSOUTHPARKMENTION-25OCT30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP