Will “Elon / Musk” be said on South Park next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was not said on South Park in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
12%from settlement history only · n=3counts: any character
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any character
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
South Park
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 12% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: any character
We don’t have transcripts for South Park yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Elon / Musk |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Elon / Musk” said on South Park?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was not said on South Park in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 6, 2025.
- What is the probability “Elon / Musk” is said on South Park next time?
- 12%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any character.
Cite parrot.markets, “South Park: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/south-park/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=south-park&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=south-park&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP